Mount Albert electorate: 2026 candidates and forecast
General electorate. Held by Labour after the 2023 election. Voting closes on Saturday 7 November 2026.
Candidates with a realistic chance
| Candidate | Party | Chance of winning* |
|---|---|---|
| Helen White | Labour | 50% |
| Melissa Lee | National | 39% |
| Ricardo Menéndez March | Green | 8% |
| Qiulae Wong | Opportunity | 3% |
Also standing: Alex Price (ACT), Luke Bones (Independent), Sheldon Eden-Whaitiri (NZ First).
* Our starting chances when the party vote matches the poll average, before the simulation adds polling error. They come from the 2023 result, retirements and the electorate polls below. The forecast adjusts them to whichever poll you pick.
See Mount Albert in the live forecastWhat we know
Labour held by 18 votes after a recount in 2023. Curia for the Spinoff (21–28 Sep, n=400, undecided excluded): White (Labour) 33, Lee (National) 32, Menéndez March (Green) 14, Wong (Opportunity) 10. Curia for the Taxpayers' Union (1–5 Oct, n=400): White 31, Lee 26, Menéndez March 18, Wong 8.
Sources: 2023 result, Wikipedia: Mount Albert electorate, The Spinoff: Mount Albert poll, NZ Herald: Taxpayers' Union-Curia poll.
Why Mount Albert matters
Electorate seats decide who sits in Parliament, but the party vote decides how many seats each party gets. An electorate can still change the result: it can bring in a party that's under 5%, or add overhang seats that raise the number needed to govern. The seat forecast shows how often that happens.
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